A Seagate executive states that storage price hikes are "the new normal," driven by an unprecedented, AI-fueled demand "supercycle" that is breaking historical boom-bust patterns. Industry forecasts predict record-breaking quarterly price surges for server and PC DRAM due to severe supply-demand imbalances, with costs further pressured by volatile oil prices affecting logistics.
Despite these cost pressures, AI is accelerating data storage demand growth beyond expectations. Seagate is shipping new high-capacity drives to meet this demand, with its nearline drive supply allocated through 2026, indicating high consumer storage prices will persist.
The main topics covered are rising memory/storage prices, AI-driven demand, supply chain pressures, and industry technological responses.
Seagate CCO says storage price hikes are ‘the new normal’ — demand enters an unprecedented ‘supercycle’ driven by AI growth
Surging memory costs are reshaping the storage industry's traditional boom-bust cycle
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Seagate CCO Ban-Seng Teh said this week that memory price hikes had become "the new normal" for the storage industry, describing current market conditions as a supercycle driven by AI data center demand that shows no sign of following historical patterns of recovery.
"It's hard to tell if it will last forever," Teh told the South China Morning Post, adding that the current cycle was "very unusual because in the past we went through cycles of shortage and oversupply.”
Seagate has obviously felt the pressure of spiralling memory prices, with Teh confirming that the company has “definitely seen increasing costs” from rising DRAM prices, though he noted its own DRAM consumption was modest relative to PC makers or hyperscale data center operators.
Article continues belowAccording to TrendForce, server DRAM contract prices were forecast to surge roughly 90% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, the steepest single-quarter increase on record. What’s worse is that TrendForce revised that figure upward from an earlier estimate of 55-60%, citing worsening supply-demand imbalances as cloud service providers continued pulling forward orders to secure allocations. PC DRAM prices are also forecast to more than double QoQ over the same period, also a record.
Although Seagate may use less DRAM than other customers, there's no way it can avoid these rising costs or the subsequent price hikes necessary to maintain its margins.
DRAM isn't the only source of price pressure for Seagate, either. Volatile oil prices caused by recent conflict in the Middle East — crude briefly surged to a four-year high of nearly $120 a barrel in the past few days before retreating below $100 — have also complicated Seagate's logistics. Teh says the company is actively reviewing shipment routing in response to that crisis.
Despite the cost pressures, Seagate is riding the same wave of AI demand that is driving memory prices up. Teh said annual growth in data storage demand, which his team had expected to stay below 20% five years ago, is instead expanding in the mid-20s percentage range.
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That growth has pushed the industry toward higher areal densities, and Seagate this month began shipping its Mozaic 4+ platform, the company's next-generation hard drive using heat-assisted magnetic recording (HAMR) technology, to two unnamed hyperscale cloud providers at capacities up to 44TB per drive. According to Seagate CEO Dave Mosley, the company's nearline hard drive capacity is on allocation through the end of 2026, with supply agreements in place with major cloud customers extending into 2027. Combined with Teh's perspective, that suggests consumers looking for a break from high storage prices are unlikely to see relief any time soon.
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Luke James is a freelance writer and journalist. Although his background is in legal, he has a personal interest in all things tech, especially hardware and microelectronics, and anything regulatory.
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