The article argues that the United States has ceded leadership in the robotics economy to China. It attributes China's advantage to a powerful combination of advanced AI, a dominant hardware supply chain, and strong national commitment, as demonstrated by rapid technological improvements.
The author contends that while the U.S. focused on software, algorithms, and financial engineering, China invested in the physical "base layer" necessary for a robotics-driven future, such as massive power grid expansion and command of material supply chains.
The main topics covered are the U.S.-China technological competition, robotics and AI advancement, and the critical importance of industrial policy and physical infrastructure over financial optimization.
Opinion | How the US ceded the robotics economy to China
Chinese gains in robotics show that nations wishing to compete must go beyond financial engineering to master their physical realities
As Beijing-based tech analyst Poe Zhao noted, these humanoids represent the synthesis of China’s three-fold advantage: cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI), a peerless hardware supply chain and an unshakeable national will. Even Tesla founder Elon Musk recently conceded that his greatest rivals are Chinese, stating that people outside China underestimate them. The Spring Festival Gala proved him right.
The sheer velocity of improvement – from simple rhythmic movement in 2025 to full acrobatic stunts in 2026 – suggests an evolutionary slope that the West is no longer climbing.
The American establishment has comforted itself with the belief that AI is the domain of large language models, silicon chips and venture capital. But the gala highlighted how we are moving from a world where finance constrains reality to a world where physical reality constrains finance.
The “brain” of AI might be a chip, but its “body” requires more electricity, more rare earths, steel and a power grid that doesn’t groan under the weight of a summer heatwave. While the US optimised its economy for advertising algorithms and financial engineering, China has built the “base layer” for the 21st century.
The statistics are staggering. China’s power grid capacity has expanded since 2021 by an amount surpassing the entire existing US grid.